Falling oil prices: The downside
FORTUNE - Last Updated: August 4, 2008: 3:04 PM EDT
Lower prices mean less pain at the pump - but tougher times ahead for the economy.
By Colin Barr, senior writer
NEW YORK (Fortune) — Oil prices are falling sharply, and that’s good news. But not nearly as good as you might think.
No doubt the drop, down to $120 by mid-day Monday, gives strapped consumers relief at the gas pump. Prices have dropped below $4 a gallon and could be headed toward $3.50, going by trading in wholesale futures markets. Any decline will be welcomed by Americans struggling under the burden of falling house prices, rising layoffs and stagnant wages.
But falling oil prices also suggest that the recession the U.S. has so far avoided is well on its way, as consumers pull back from the spending spree that drove economic growth earlier this decade. A weakening economy will mean more layoffs, further pressuring already reduced spending.














































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